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League Two · China
Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Xiamen Feilu host Qingdao Red Lions in the League Two (China) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Xiamen Feilu 3–0 Qingdao Red Lions.
Going into the match, Xiamen Feilu had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Qingdao Red Lions had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Xiamen Feilu's last 10 and 4 of Qingdao Red Lions's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Xiamen Feilu averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Qingdao Red Lions averaged 0.85 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Xiamen Feilu and 0.80 from Qingdao Red Lions. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 27%, against 47%, 29% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Xiamen Feilu (green) and Qingdao Red Lions (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiamen Feilu | DLWLL | 0.80 | 1.40 | 30% | 40% |
| Qingdao Red Lions | DLLWL | 1.10 | 1.00 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Sep 2026 · Qingdao Red Lions 1–0 Xiamen Feilu
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.52 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.68 |
| Xiamen Feilu Win | 45% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Xiamen Feilu HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
| 1-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Chengdu Rongcheng II vs Nantong Haimen Codion · 18 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Dalian Yingbo B vs Yichun Grand Tiger · 18 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Changchun Xidu vs Hubei Chufeng Heli · 18 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 1–0