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League Two · China
Changchun Xidu vs Hubei Chufeng Heli prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Changchun Xidu host Hubei Chufeng Heli in the League Two (China) on 18 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Changchun Xidu 1–0 Hubei Chufeng Heli.
Going into the match, Changchun Xidu had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Hubei Chufeng Heli had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Changchun Xidu's last 10 and 4 of Hubei Chufeng Heli's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Changchun Xidu averaged 0.54 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Hubei Chufeng Heli averaged 1.31 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Changchun Xidu and 0.93 from Hubei Chufeng Heli. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 29%, against 46%, 29% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Changchun Xidu (green) and Hubei Chufeng Heli (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changchun Xidu | WDDWW | 1.20 | 1.10 | 80% | 50% |
| Hubei Chufeng Heli | DWDLW | 0.80 | 0.90 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Sep 2026 · Hubei Chufeng Heli 1–2 Changchun Xidu
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.74 |
| Changchun Xidu Win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Changchun Xidu HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Chengdu Rongcheng II vs Nantong Haimen Codion · 18 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Xiamen Feilu vs Qingdao Red Lions · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Dalian Yingbo B vs Yichun Grand Tiger · 18 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50