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Birinci Dasta · Azerbaijan
Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Xankəndi FK host Mingəçevir in the Birinci Dasta (Azerbaijan) on 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Xankəndi FK 0–1 Mingəçevir.
Going into the match, Xankəndi FK had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Mingəçevir had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Xankəndi FK's last 5 and 6 of Mingəçevir's last 10; 1 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Xankəndi FK averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Mingəçevir averaged 0.83 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6.
The 1X2 prices imply about 80% for Xankəndi FK, 13% for the draw and 7% for Mingəçevir once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Xankəndi FK (green) and Mingəçevir (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xankəndi FK | WDLLD | 0.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 20% |
| Mingəçevir | LLLLD | 1.80 | 2.10 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS No | 64% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Xankəndi FK HT & FT | 60% | 1.57 |
| Xankəndi FK 1st Half Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Birinci Dasta matches that day
- Şahdağ vs Səbail · 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Birinci Dasta
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.44 · FT 1–0