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National League · England
Worthing vs Sutton Utd prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Worthing host Sutton Utd in the National League (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Worthing had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Sutton Utd had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Worthing's last 10 and 6 of Sutton Utd's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Worthing averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Sutton Utd averaged 1.10 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Worthing and 0.95 from Sutton Utd. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 22%, against 50%, 25% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Worthing (green) and Sutton Utd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | DWLLW | 2.00 | 1.30 | 70% | 80% |
| Sutton Utd | WLWWL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other National League matches that day
- Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · National League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Aldershot Town vs Gateshead · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · National League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.20 - Altrincham vs Carlisle · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · National League
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Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.20 - Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · National League
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Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Tamworth vs Woking · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · National League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Wealdstone vs Southend · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · National League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - FC Halifax Town vs Yeovil Town · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · National League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Forest Green vs Harrogate Town · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · National League
Published pick: Forest Green Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.22