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National League · England
Altrincham vs Carlisle prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Moss Lane, Altrincham
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Altrincham host Carlisle in the National League (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Altrincham had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Carlisle had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Altrincham's last 10 and 6 of Carlisle's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Altrincham averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Carlisle averaged 1.80 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Altrincham and 1.42 from Carlisle. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 36%, against 32%, 26% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Altrincham (green) and Carlisle (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altrincham | DWWDW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 60% | 70% |
| Carlisle | WWWDW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Carlisle Win | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other National League matches that day
- Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · National League
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - FC Halifax Town vs Yeovil Town · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · National League
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Published pick: Forest Green Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.22