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Wollongong Wolves vs Lions prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · WIN Stadium, Wollongong
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wollongong Wolves host Lions in the Australian Championship (Australia) on 31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Wollongong Wolves had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Lions had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Wollongong Wolves's last 10 and 5 of Lions's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wollongong Wolves averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Lions averaged 2.38 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.81 goals from Wollongong Wolves and 1.95 from Lions. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 63%, against 32%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wollongong Wolves (green) and Lions (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wollongong Wolves | WDLWW | 1.30 | 1.70 | 50% | 70% |
| Lions | WLLWW | 2.20 | 0.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Australian Championship matches that day
- South Hobart vs Preston Lions · 31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · Australian Championship
Published pick: Preston Lions Win @ 1.28 - Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney United · 31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · Australian Championship
Published pick: Sydney United Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20