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South Hobart vs Preston Lions prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · Darcy Street
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
South Hobart host Preston Lions in the Australian Championship (Australia) on 31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Preston Lions Win — Preston Lions to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, South Hobart had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 14. Preston Lions had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of South Hobart's last 10 and 5 of Preston Lions's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home South Hobart averaged 3.33 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Preston Lions averaged 1.38 scored and 0.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from South Hobart and 1.08 from Preston Lions. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 12%, 18% and 70% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 31%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between South Hobart (green) and Preston Lions (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Hobart | LWWDL | 2.20 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
| Preston Lions | LDLDL | 1.60 | 1.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Preston Lions Win | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.73 |
| Preston Lions 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Australian Championship matches that day
- Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney United · 31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · Australian Championship
Published pick: Sydney United Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Wollongong Wolves vs Lions · 31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · Australian Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20