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Non League Premier - Isthmian · England
Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton Athletic prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wingate & Finchley host Carshalton Athletic in the Non League Premier - Isthmian (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wingate & Finchley 4–2 Carshalton Athletic.
Going into the match, Wingate & Finchley had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 17. Carshalton Athletic had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Wingate & Finchley's last 10 and 6 of Carshalton Athletic's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wingate & Finchley averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Carshalton Athletic averaged 1.58 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.21 goals from Wingate & Finchley and 1.34 from Carshalton Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 22%, against 40%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wingate & Finchley (green) and Carshalton Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wingate & Finchley | WWLLD | 2.10 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
| Carshalton Athletic | DLLLW | 1.20 | 2.30 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Aug 2026 · Carshalton Athletic 2–0 Wingate & Finchley
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Wingate & Finchley form and statistics
- Carshalton Athletic form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Isthmian statistics
Other Non League Premier - Isthmian matches that day
- Brentwood Town vs Dartford · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 · FT 3–0 - Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.47 - Dulwich Hamlet vs Chatham Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 0–4 - Ramsgate vs Stanway Rovers · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 2–0 - Three Bridges vs Eastbourne Borough · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 · FT 0–2 - Welling United vs Leatherhead · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55