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Non League Premier - Isthmian · England
Welling United vs Leatherhead prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Welling United host Leatherhead in the Non League Premier - Isthmian (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Welling United had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Leatherhead had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Welling United's last 10 and 5 of Leatherhead's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Welling United averaged 2.31 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Leatherhead averaged 1.78 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Welling United and 1.31 from Leatherhead. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 25%, against 49%, 24% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Welling United (green) and Leatherhead (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | WLWWD | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
| Leatherhead | DLLWD | 1.60 | 1.40 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Aug 2026 · Leatherhead 4–1 Welling United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Welling United Win | 49% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Welling United form and statistics
- Leatherhead form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Isthmian statistics
Other Non League Premier - Isthmian matches that day
- Brentwood Town vs Dartford · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 · FT 3–0 - Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.47 - Dulwich Hamlet vs Chatham Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 0–4 - Ramsgate vs Stanway Rovers · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 2–0 - Three Bridges vs Eastbourne Borough · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 · FT 0–2 - Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton Athletic · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 4–2