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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wieczysta Kraków host Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wieczysta Kraków 1–2 Raków Częstochowa.
Going into the match, Wieczysta Kraków had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 21. Raków Częstochowa had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Wieczysta Kraków's last 10 and 9 of Raków Częstochowa's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wieczysta Kraków averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Raków Częstochowa averaged 1.60 scored and 1.67 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Wieczysta Kraków and 1.92 from Raków Częstochowa. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 38%, against 45%, 25% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wieczysta Kraków (green) and Raków Częstochowa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Kraków | LWWDL | 1.80 | 2.10 | 70% | 70% |
| Raków Częstochowa | LWLLW | 1.80 | 2.40 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ekstraklasa matches that day
- Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow · 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–0