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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Widzew Łódź host Wisla Krakow in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Widzew Łódź 0–0 Wisla Krakow.
Going into the match, Widzew Łódź had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Wisla Krakow had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Widzew Łódź's last 10 and 7 of Wisla Krakow's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Widzew Łódź averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.06 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Wisla Krakow averaged 1.55 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Widzew Łódź and 1.07 from Wisla Krakow. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 29%, against 42%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Widzew Łódź (green) and Wisla Krakow (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź | LDDDD | 1.40 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| Wisla Krakow | LWWWD | 1.70 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ekstraklasa matches that day
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–2