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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Widzew Łódź host Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Widzew Łódź had won 0, drawn 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Gornik Zabrze had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Widzew Łódź's last 10 and 6 of Gornik Zabrze's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Widzew Łódź averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Gornik Zabrze averaged 1.21 scored and 0.89 conceded across 19.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Widzew Łódź and 1.07 from Gornik Zabrze. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 34%, against 33%, 28% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Widzew Łódź (green) and Gornik Zabrze (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź | DLDDD | 1.20 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| Gornik Zabrze | DWLDW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ekstraklasa matches that day
- Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin · 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40