Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Motor Lublin host Zaglebie Lubin in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Motor Lublin had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Zaglebie Lubin had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Motor Lublin's last 10 and 5 of Zaglebie Lubin's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Motor Lublin averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Zaglebie Lubin averaged 1.11 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Motor Lublin and 1.08 from Zaglebie Lubin. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 48%, 27% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Motor Lublin (green) and Zaglebie Lubin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%

Attack56% – 44%

Defence47% – 53%

Head-to-head93% – 7%

Goals70% – 30%

Overall strength59% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Motor Lublin	WWDLL	1.50	1.50	60%	60%
Zaglebie Lubin	WLWLW	1.10	1.20	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	78%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.22
Double Chance 1X	74%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	67%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	56%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.