Home › League stats › III Liga - Group 1 › Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz
III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Widzew II vs Warta Sieradz prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Widzew II host Warta Sieradz in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 21 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Widzew II 0–1 Warta Sieradz.
Going into the match, Widzew II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 21. Warta Sieradz had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Widzew II's last 10 and 9 of Warta Sieradz's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Widzew II averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Warta Sieradz averaged 2.00 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Widzew II and 1.73 from Warta Sieradz. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 44%, against 39%, 24% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Widzew II (green) and Warta Sieradz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew II | DLDLL | 1.80 | 2.10 | 70% | 50% |
| Warta Sieradz | WLDDW | 1.90 | 1.80 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Widzew II Win | 38% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.