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Premier League · Ethiopia
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Welayta Dicha host Fasil Ketema in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Welayta Dicha 0–0 Fasil Ketema.
Going into the match, Welayta Dicha had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Fasil Ketema had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Welayta Dicha's last 10 and 3 of Fasil Ketema's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Welayta Dicha averaged 0.33 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Fasil Ketema averaged 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Welayta Dicha and 0.75 from Fasil Ketema. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 28%, against 39%, 34% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Welayta Dicha (green) and Fasil Ketema (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welayta Dicha | DWLWD | 0.90 | 0.40 | 20% | 20% |
| Fasil Ketema | WLWWL | 0.90 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Apr 2026 · Welayta Dicha 0–1 Fasil Ketema
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 52% | 1.79 |
| Welayta Dicha Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.62 |
| 0-0 | 21% | 4.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.