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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Wda Świecie vs Flota Świnoujście prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wda Świecie host Flota Świnoujście in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.54, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wda Świecie 1–0 Flota Świnoujście.
Going into the match, Wda Świecie had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Flota Świnoujście had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Wda Świecie's last 10 and 5 of Flota Świnoujście's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wda Świecie averaged 1.82 goals scored and 2.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Flota Świnoujście averaged 1.17 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Wda Świecie and 1.12 from Flota Świnoujście. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 23%, against 50%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wda Świecie (green) and Flota Świnoujście (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wda Świecie | WLLLD | 1.60 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
| Flota Świnoujście | LLLDW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Flota Świnoujście 0–3 Wda Świecie
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.24 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.54 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Wda Świecie Win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 2 matches that day
- Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40