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Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford vs Galway United prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Waterford host Galway United in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Waterford 3–2 Galway United.
Going into the match, Waterford had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. Galway United had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Waterford's last 10 and 7 of Galway United's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Waterford averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Galway United averaged 1.42 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Waterford and 1.17 from Galway United. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 23%, against 47%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Waterford (green) and Galway United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waterford | LWLDD | 1.80 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
| Galway United | WLDLW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Galway United 0–0 Waterford
- 24 Apr 2026 · Waterford 1–1 Galway United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Waterford Win | 46% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier Division matches that day
- Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. · 19 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 1–0