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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Warta Sieradz host Wigry Suwałki in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.54, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Warta Sieradz 1–3 Wigry Suwałki.
Going into the match, Warta Sieradz had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 16. Wigry Suwałki had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Warta Sieradz's last 10 and 6 of Wigry Suwałki's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Warta Sieradz averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Wigry Suwałki averaged 1.82 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Warta Sieradz and 1.58 from Wigry Suwałki. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 45%, against 34%, 25% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Warta Sieradz (green) and Wigry Suwałki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Sieradz | DDWWL | 1.80 | 1.60 | 80% | 80% |
| Wigry Suwałki | WWWDL | 1.70 | 1.40 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 May 2026 · Warta Sieradz 2–1 Wigry Suwałki
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.20 |
| Wigry Suwałki Win | 41% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.