Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.53Market probability 62%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Warta Poznań host Unia Skierniewice in the I Liga (Poland) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Warta Poznań 1–0 Unia Skierniewice.

Going into the match, Warta Poznań had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Unia Skierniewice had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Warta Poznań's last 10 and 6 of Unia Skierniewice's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Warta Poznań averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Unia Skierniewice averaged 1.40 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Warta Poznań and 1.17 from Unia Skierniewice. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 25%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Warta Poznań (green) and Unia Skierniewice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form55% – 45%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head0% – 100%

Goals20% – 80%

Overall strength53% – 47%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Warta Poznań	LWWWL	1.50	1.30	60%	70%
Unia Skierniewice	DLDWL	1.20	1.60	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	74%	1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	73%	1.28
BTTS Yes	62%	1.53
Under 3.5 Goals	62%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
Over 2.5 Goals	59%	1.60
Under 10.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Warta Poznań Win	44%	2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.