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I Liga · Poland
Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ruch Chorzów host Odra Opole in the I Liga (Poland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ruch Chorzów 3–0 Odra Opole.
Going into the match, Ruch Chorzów had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Odra Opole had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ruch Chorzów's last 10 and 5 of Odra Opole's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ruch Chorzów averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Odra Opole averaged 0.91 scored and 0.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Ruch Chorzów and 0.74 from Odra Opole. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 22%, against 51%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ruch Chorzów (green) and Odra Opole (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzów | WLDDW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
| Odra Opole | WWLLD | 1.10 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Ruch Chorzów 2–0 Odra Opole
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Ruch Chorzów Win | 50% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other I Liga matches that day
- Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–0