Waalwijk vs FC Volendam prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 67%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Waalwijk host FC Volendam in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Waalwijk 1–1 FC Volendam.

Going into the match, Waalwijk had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 15. FC Volendam had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Waalwijk's last 10 and 5 of FC Volendam's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Waalwijk averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 16 matches; away from home FC Volendam averaged 1.64 scored and 1.93 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Waalwijk and 1.38 from FC Volendam. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 33%, against 48%, 25% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Waalwijk (green) and FC Volendam (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals55% – 45%

Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Waalwijk	LDLWW	1.90	1.50	70%	50%
FC Volendam	WLWLW	2.20	1.70	50%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

18 Jul 2026 · Waalwijk 2–2 FC Volendam

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	76%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	71%	1.33
BTTS Yes	67%	1.40
Over 2.5 Goals	67%	1.44
Over 9.5 Corners	56%	1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	54%	1.73
Under 3.5 Goals	53%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.