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Cup · Russia
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Volga Ulyanovsk host Murom in the Cup (Russia) on 14 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.34, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Volga Ulyanovsk 0–0 Murom.
Going into the match, Volga Ulyanovsk had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Murom had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Volga Ulyanovsk's last 10 and 3 of Murom's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Volga Ulyanovsk averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Murom averaged 1.46 scored and 0.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.63 goals from Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.20 from Murom. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 49%, against 53%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Volga Ulyanovsk (green) and Murom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volga Ulyanovsk | DWLLD | 1.20 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Murom | WWWWW | 2.00 | 0.60 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 80% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.69 |
| Volga Ulyanovsk Win | 54% | 1.81 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.71 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.72 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.