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La Liga · Spain
Villarreal vs Getafe prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Villarreal host Getafe in the La Liga (Spain) on 8 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Villarreal had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Getafe had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Villarreal's last 10 and 5 of Getafe's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villarreal averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Getafe averaged 0.63 scored and 1.56 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Villarreal and 0.90 from Getafe. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 17%, against 67%, 21% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Villarreal (green) and Getafe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | LLWWL | 1.90 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
| Getafe | LWWLL | 1.10 | 1.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| Villarreal Win | 67% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona · 8 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Celta Vigo vs Levante · 8 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano · 8 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Elche vs Real Betis · 8 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57