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La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo vs Levante prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Celta Vigo host Levante in the La Liga (Spain) on 8 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Celta Vigo had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Levante had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Celta Vigo's last 10 and 7 of Levante's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Celta Vigo averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Levante averaged 0.92 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Celta Vigo and 1.09 from Levante. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 29%, against 51%, 27% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Celta Vigo (green) and Levante (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | LLDWW | 1.20 | 1.10 | 50% | 60% |
| Levante | LLWDD | 1.60 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 May 2026 · Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Celta Vigo Win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona · 8 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Villarreal vs Getafe · 8 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano · 8 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Elche vs Real Betis · 8 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57