Villarreal vs Elche prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Villarreal WinOdds 1.45Market probability 65%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Villarreal host Elche in the La Liga (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Villarreal Win — Villarreal to win. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Villarreal 0–0 Elche.

Going into the match, Villarreal had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Elche had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 21 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Villarreal's last 10 and 8 of Elche's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villarreal averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Elche averaged 1.50 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Villarreal and 0.99 from Elche. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 17%, against 65%, 19% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Villarreal (green) and Elche (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form55% – 45%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head60% – 40%

Goals63% – 38%

Overall strength53% – 46%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Villarreal	WLWWL	1.80	1.70	80%	80%
Elche	DWLDL	1.50	2.10	80%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
Villarreal Win	65%	1.45
Over 2.5 Goals	64%	1.44
BTTS Yes	59%	1.62
Under 3.5 Goals	56%	1.73
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	56%	1.67
Under 9.5 Corners	52%	1.82

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.