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National Division · Luxembourg
Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03 prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Victoria Rosport host FC Differdange 03 in the National Division (Luxembourg) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Victoria Rosport 3–5 FC Differdange 03.
Going into the match, Victoria Rosport had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 21. FC Differdange 03 had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 30 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Victoria Rosport's last 10 and 4 of FC Differdange 03's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Victoria Rosport averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home FC Differdange 03 averaged 2.30 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Victoria Rosport and 2.89 from FC Differdange 03. From that it rates a home win at 7%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 79%, against 11%, 15% and 74% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Victoria Rosport (green) and FC Differdange 03 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Rosport | WWDLL | 1.70 | 2.10 | 50% | 80% |
| FC Differdange 03 | WWWWW | 3.00 | 0.60 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 May 2026 · FC Differdange 03 4–1 Victoria Rosport
- 19 Apr 2026 · FC Differdange 03 3–0 Victoria Rosport
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Differdange 03 Win | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| FC Differdange 03 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| FC Differdange 03 HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.74 |
| 0-3 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Victoria Rosport form and statistics
- FC Differdange 03 form and statistics
- National Division statistics
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