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National Division · Luxembourg
US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
US Mondorf-les-bains host Wiltz in the National Division (Luxembourg) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: US Mondorf-les-bains 4–1 Wiltz.
Going into the match, US Mondorf-les-bains had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 13. Wiltz had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of US Mondorf-les-bains's last 10 and 8 of Wiltz's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home US Mondorf-les-bains averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Wiltz averaged 2.67 scored and 2.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.60 goals from US Mondorf-les-bains and 1.08 from Wiltz. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 7%, against 73%, 17% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between US Mondorf-les-bains (green) and Wiltz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Mondorf-les-bains | WWLLW | 2.80 | 1.30 | 90% | 90% |
| Wiltz | LWLLL | 2.00 | 2.60 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains Win | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.77 |
| 3-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other National Division matches that day
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Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–3