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Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain

Velarde vs Cayón prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2No priceFinal score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Velarde host Cayón in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Cayón to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Velarde 0–1 Cayón.

Going into the match, Velarde had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Cayón had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Velarde's last 4 and 4 of Cayón's last 9; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Velarde averaged 0.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Cayón averaged 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.48 goals from Velarde and 1.74 from Cayón. From that it rates a home win at 9%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 68%. For the published pick itself the model gives 91%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Velarde (green) and Cayón (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%
Attack43% – 57%
Defence22% – 78%
Overall strength33% – 66%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
VelardeLLWD0.751.7550%50%
CayónDWWLW1.441.1144%33%

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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