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Second NL · Croatia
Varteks Varaždin vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Varteks Varaždin host Hrvatski Dragovoljac in the Second NL (Croatia) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Hrvatski Dragovoljac to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Varteks Varaždin 3–0 Hrvatski Dragovoljac.
Going into the match, Varteks Varaždin had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 18. Hrvatski Dragovoljac had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Varteks Varaždin's last 10 and 3 of Hrvatski Dragovoljac's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Varteks Varaždin averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Hrvatski Dragovoljac averaged 1.22 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Varteks Varaždin and 0.74 from Hrvatski Dragovoljac. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 22%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Varteks Varaždin (green) and Hrvatski Dragovoljac (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varteks Varaždin | LDDLW | 0.70 | 1.80 | 50% | 40% |
| Hrvatski Dragovoljac | LWLWW | 0.90 | 1.80 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Apr 2026 · Varteks Varaždin 0–0 Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Hrvatski Dragovoljac Win | 38% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second NL matches that day
- Bjelovar vs Koprivnica · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: Bjelovar Win @ 1.53 · FT 4–0 - Inter Zapresic vs Jarun · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56 - Križevci vs Lucko · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 · FT 1–1 - Slavonija Požega vs Dugo Selo · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.59 - Trnje vs Zagora · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.51 · FT 2–2 - Uskok Klis vs Solin · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58