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Second NL · Croatia
Trnje vs Zagora prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Trnje host Zagora in the Second NL (Croatia) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.51, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Trnje 2–2 Zagora.
Going into the match, Trnje had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Zagora had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Trnje's last 10 and 7 of Zagora's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Trnje averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Zagora averaged 2.14 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.23 goals from Trnje and 1.90 from Zagora. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 33%, against 47%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Trnje (green) and Zagora (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Trnje Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second NL matches that day
- Bjelovar vs Koprivnica · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: Bjelovar Win @ 1.53 · FT 4–0 - Inter Zapresic vs Jarun · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56 - Križevci vs Lucko · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 · FT 1–1 - Slavonija Požega vs Dugo Selo · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.59 - Uskok Klis vs Solin · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 - Varteks Varaždin vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second NL
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 · FT 3–0