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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Vaprus vs Paide prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vaprus host Paide in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Vaprus had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 22. Paide had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Vaprus's last 10 and 4 of Paide's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vaprus averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.53 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Paide averaged 1.35 scored and 1.47 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Vaprus and 1.36 from Paide. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 25%, 24% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vaprus (green) and Paide (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Sep 2026 · Paide 2–0 Vaprus
- 4 Jul 2026 · Paide 3–1 Vaprus
- 6 May 2026 · Paide 2–0 Vaprus
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Paide Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Meistriliiga matches that day
- Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: FC Levadia Tallinn Win @ 1.40 - Tammeka vs Laagri · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44