Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

FC Levadia Tallinn WinOdds 1.40Market probability 71%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Nõmme United host FC Levadia Tallinn in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Levadia Tallinn Win — FC Levadia Tallinn to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Nõmme United had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. FC Levadia Tallinn had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 35 scored and 4 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Nõmme United's last 10 and 4 of FC Levadia Tallinn's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nõmme United averaged 2.31 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 16 matches; away from home FC Levadia Tallinn averaged 2.53 scored and 0.82 conceded across 17.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.78 goals from Nõmme United and 2.81 from FC Levadia Tallinn. From that it rates a home win at 7%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 79%, against 19%, 16% and 65% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Nõmme United (green) and FC Levadia Tallinn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%

Attack44% – 56%

Defence27% – 73%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals39% – 61%

Overall strength34% – 65%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Nõmme United	WWWLL	1.60	1.80	50%	70%
FC Levadia Tallinn	WWWWW	3.50	0.40	40%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

9 Aug 2026 · FC Levadia Tallinn 5–0 Nõmme United
17 Jun 2026 · Nõmme United 1–2 FC Levadia Tallinn

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	71%	1.33
FC Levadia Tallinn Win	70%	1.40
BTTS Yes	65%	1.50
Over 10.5 Corners	54%	1.73
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals	50%	1.83
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	50%	1.83
FC Levadia Tallinn HT & FT	47%	2.00
2nd Half Higher Goals	44%	2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.