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Premier League · Malta
Valletta FC vs Sliema Wanderers prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Valletta FC host Sliema Wanderers in the Premier League (Malta) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Valletta FC 2–1 Sliema Wanderers.
Going into the match, Valletta FC had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Sliema Wanderers had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Valletta FC's last 10 and 7 of Sliema Wanderers's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Valletta FC averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Sliema Wanderers averaged 1.50 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Valletta FC and 1.14 from Sliema Wanderers. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 22%, against 53%, 28% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valletta FC | WWDWW | 2.00 | 1.30 | 40% | 70% |
| Sliema Wanderers | DDWWW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.72 |
| Valletta FC Win | 50% | 1.70 |
| Valletta FC HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 · FT 1–2