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Premier League · Malta
Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Balzan FC host Zabbar St. Patrick in the Premier League (Malta) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Balzan FC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Balzan FC 1–2 Zabbar St. Patrick.
Going into the match, Balzan FC had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Zabbar St. Patrick had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Balzan FC's last 10 and 5 of Zabbar St. Patrick's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Balzan FC averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Zabbar St. Patrick averaged 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Balzan FC and 0.89 from Zabbar St. Patrick. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 45%, 27% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balzan FC | DDDWW | 1.20 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
| Zabbar St. Patrick | LLDLD | 0.70 | 1.30 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| Balzan FC Win | 43% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Valletta FC vs Sliema Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62