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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Uxbridge vs Malvern Town prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Uxbridge host Malvern Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Uxbridge 3–0 Malvern Town.
Going into the match, Uxbridge had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 10. Malvern Town had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Uxbridge's last 10 and 7 of Malvern Town's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Uxbridge averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Malvern Town averaged 0.67 scored and 2.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.16 goals from Uxbridge and 0.80 from Malvern Town. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 6%, against 55%, 23% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Uxbridge (green) and Malvern Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge | LWWWW | 2.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 70% |
| Malvern Town | WWLLD | 1.50 | 2.30 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.49 |
| Uxbridge Win | 59% | 1.65 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.68 |
| Uxbridge HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Uxbridge form and statistics
- Malvern Town form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Southern South statistics
Other Non League Premier - Southern South matches that day
- Bath City vs Havant & Wville · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 1–0 - Chertsey Town vs Evesham United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–0 - Chichester City vs Berkhamsted · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 · FT 3–1 - Hanworth Villa vs Chippenham Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: Hanworth Villa Win @ 1.65 · FT 1–1 - Poole Town vs Hanwell Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Taunton Town vs Bracknell Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.43 · FT 4–0 - Yate Town vs Sholing · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–1 - Wimborne Town vs Gosport Borough · 20 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 3–0