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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Chertsey Town vs Evesham United prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chertsey Town host Evesham United in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chertsey Town 2–0 Evesham United.
Going into the match, Chertsey Town had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Evesham United had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Chertsey Town's last 10 and 4 of Evesham United's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chertsey Town averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Evesham United averaged 1.38 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.40 goals from Chertsey Town and 0.97 from Evesham United. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 13%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chertsey Town (green) and Evesham United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | LDDWL | 2.00 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
| Evesham United | LLLLW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Chertsey Town Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Chertsey Town HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Chertsey Town form and statistics
- Evesham United form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Southern South statistics
Other Non League Premier - Southern South matches that day
- Bath City vs Havant & Wville · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 1–0 - Chichester City vs Berkhamsted · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 · FT 3–1 - Hanworth Villa vs Chippenham Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: Hanworth Villa Win @ 1.65 · FT 1–1 - Poole Town vs Hanwell Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Taunton Town vs Bracknell Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.43 · FT 4–0 - Uxbridge vs Malvern Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–0 - Yate Town vs Sholing · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–1 - Wimborne Town vs Gosport Borough · 20 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 3–0