Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 64%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Utrecht host PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Utrecht had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 27. PEC Zwolle had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 25 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Utrecht's last 10 and 4 of PEC Zwolle's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Utrecht averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home PEC Zwolle averaged 1.14 scored and 2.86 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Utrecht and 1.40 from PEC Zwolle. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 31%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Utrecht (green) and PEC Zwolle (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form71% – 29%

Attack63% – 38%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head85% – 15%

Goals71% – 29%

Overall strength66% – 34%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Utrecht	WWLWD	1.60	2.70	80%	90%
PEC Zwolle	WLLLD	1.00	2.50	40%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	78%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	74%	1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No	73%	1.28
Over 2.5 Goals	64%	1.50
BTTS Yes	63%	1.50
Utrecht Win	57%	1.67
Under 3.5 Goals	57%	1.62
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	56%	1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.