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Eredivisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ADO Den Haag host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, ADO Den Haag had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 20. Heerenveen had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of ADO Den Haag's last 10 and 4 of Heerenveen's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ADO Den Haag averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Heerenveen averaged 1.67 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from ADO Den Haag and 1.97 from Heerenveen. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 50%, against 29%, 25% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ADO Den Haag (green) and Heerenveen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | WDDLL | 1.10 | 2.00 | 70% | 60% |
| Heerenveen | WLWDL | 1.80 | 1.30 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eredivisie matches that day
- Willem II vs Cambuur · 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle · 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50