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Copa Venezuela · Venezuela
Urena SC vs Trujillanos FC prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Urena SC host Trujillanos FC in the Copa Venezuela (Venezuela) on 7 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Urena SC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Urena SC 2–2 Trujillanos FC.
Going into the match, Urena SC had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 17. Trujillanos FC had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Urena SC's last 10 and 7 of Trujillanos FC's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Urena SC averaged 0.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Trujillanos FC averaged 0.67 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Urena SC and 1.38 from Trujillanos FC. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 42%, against 31%, 27% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Urena SC (green) and Trujillanos FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urena SC | DLLWW | 0.70 | 1.70 | 20% | 50% |
| Trujillanos FC | DLWLL | 1.20 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Aug 2026 · Trujillanos FC 2–2 Urena SC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| 1-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.