UNAM Pumas U21 vs Tigres UANL U21 prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.33Market probability 68%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

UNAM Pumas U21 host Tigres UANL U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — UNAM Pumas U21 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: UNAM Pumas U21 1–0 Tigres UANL U21.

Going into the match, UNAM Pumas U21 had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Tigres UANL U21 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of UNAM Pumas U21's last 10 and 7 of Tigres UANL U21's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UNAM Pumas U21 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Tigres UANL U21 averaged 1.11 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from UNAM Pumas U21 and 0.84 from Tigres UANL U21. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 22%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between UNAM Pumas U21 (green) and Tigres UANL U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%

Attack42% – 58%

Defence57% – 43%

Head-to-head25% – 75%

Goals27% – 73%

Overall strength44% – 55%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
UNAM Pumas U21	DWWDW	1.20	0.90	70%	40%
Tigres UANL U21	WWLDD	1.50	1.40	70%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	73%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	69%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.39
BTTS Yes	54%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	1.95
UNAM Pumas U21 Win	41%	2.15
Draw	28%	3.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.