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UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · International

Ukraine U21 vs Croatia U21 prediction and preview

2 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 71%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ukraine U21 host Croatia U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Ukraine U21 1–0 Croatia U21.

Going into the match, Ukraine U21 had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Croatia U21 had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4, with 8 scored and 4 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Ukraine U21's last 3 and 3 of Croatia U21's last 4; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ukraine U21 averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Croatia U21 averaged 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded across 0.

The 1X2 prices imply about 32% for Ukraine U21, 25% for the draw and 43% for Croatia U21 once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ukraine U21 (green) and Croatia U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%
Attack28% – 72%
Defence14% – 86%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals67% – 33%
Overall strength34% – 65%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Ukraine U21DLL1.002.6767%100%
Croatia U21WDWD2.001.0075%50%

Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1275%1.22
Over 1.5 Goals73%1.28
Under 3.5 Goals71%1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
Under 9.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS Yes51%1.80
Over 2.5 Goals50%1.90
Under 2.5 Goals50%1.90

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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