Triglav vs Dekani prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.70Market probability 57%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Triglav host Dekani in the 2. SNL (Slovenia) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Triglav 1–0 Dekani.

Going into the match, Triglav had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 5. Dekani had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Triglav's last 10 and 1 of Dekani's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Triglav averaged 2.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Dekani averaged 0.44 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Triglav and 0.47 from Dekani. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 10%, against 78%, 15% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 33%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Triglav (green) and Dekani (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form57% – 43%

Attack78% – 22%

Defence75% – 25%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals70% – 30%

Overall strength75% – 24%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Triglav	WWDWW	2.00	0.50	20%	40%
Dekani	WLWWD	0.70	0.60	10%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

6 May 2026 · Triglav 2–0 Dekani

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.30
BTTS No	65%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.50
Triglav HT & FT	58%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	57%	1.70
Triglav 1st Half Win	57%	1.57
3-0	16%	6.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.