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2. SNL · Slovenia
Ilirija vs Tabor Sežana prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ilirija host Tabor Sežana in the 2. SNL (Slovenia) on 16 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Tabor Sežana to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ilirija 0–1 Tabor Sežana.
Going into the match, Ilirija had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Tabor Sežana had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ilirija's last 10 and 3 of Tabor Sežana's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ilirija averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Tabor Sežana averaged 1.78 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Ilirija and 1.21 from Tabor Sežana. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 40%, against 28%, 26% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ilirija (green) and Tabor Sežana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | WLLWL | 1.70 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
| Tabor Sežana | WWWLW | 2.10 | 0.70 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Tabor Sežana Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Tabor Sežana HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 2. SNL matches that day
- Dravinja vs Jesenice · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 2. SNL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Triglav vs Dekani · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 2. SNL
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 · FT 1–0