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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Treviso vs Giana Erminio prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Treviso host Giana Erminio in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Treviso 0–0 Giana Erminio.
Going into the match, Treviso had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Giana Erminio had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Treviso's last 10 and 7 of Giana Erminio's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Treviso averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Giana Erminio averaged 0.89 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Treviso and 0.88 from Giana Erminio. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 24%, against 52%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Treviso (green) and Giana Erminio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treviso | WDDWD | 1.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
| Giana Erminio | DDDLL | 0.90 | 2.00 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Treviso Win | 52% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.