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Campionato · San Marino
Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tre Penne host Tre Fiori in the Campionato (San Marino) on 23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Tre Penne to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Tre Penne had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 6. Tre Fiori had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Tre Penne's last 10 and 5 of Tre Fiori's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tre Penne averaged 2.22 goals scored and 0.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Tre Fiori averaged 1.57 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.35 goals from Tre Penne and 0.74 from Tre Fiori. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 9%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 91%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tre Penne (green) and Tre Fiori (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Tre Penne Win | 41% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Campionato matches that day
- Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus · 23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Campionato
Published pick: Virtus Win @ 1.27 - Pennarossa vs San Giovanni · 23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Campionato
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 - San Marino Academy vs Cosmos · 23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Campionato
Published pick: Cosmos Win @ 1.38