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Campionato · San Marino
Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Juvenes / Dogana host Virtus in the Campionato (San Marino) on 23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Virtus Win — Virtus to win. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Juvenes / Dogana had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Virtus had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Juvenes / Dogana's last 10 and 4 of Virtus's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juvenes / Dogana averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Virtus averaged 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Juvenes / Dogana and 1.89 from Virtus. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 60%, against 11%, 18% and 71% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Juvenes / Dogana (green) and Virtus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juvenes / Dogana | LLLLL | 1.30 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Virtus | WWWWW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 May 2026 · Juvenes / Dogana 0–2 Virtus
- 3 May 2026 · Virtus 0–0 Juvenes / Dogana
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Win | 72% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| Virtus 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Virtus HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Campionato matches that day
- Pennarossa vs San Giovanni · 23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Campionato
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 - San Marino Academy vs Cosmos · 23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Campionato
Published pick: Cosmos Win @ 1.38 - Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori · 23 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Campionato
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30