Tirana vs Laci prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.70Market probability 55%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Tirana host Laci in the Superliga (Albania) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Tirana 1–0 Laci.

Going into the match, Tirana had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Laci had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Tirana's last 10 and 7 of Laci's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tirana averaged 2.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Laci averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from Tirana and 1.05 from Laci. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 20%, against 51%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Tirana (green) and Laci (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form57% – 43%

Attack65% – 35%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Tirana	WDDWL	1.80	1.20	60%	70%
Laci	LWLWL	2.20	1.70	70%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	73%	1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.34
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.36
Under 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70
Tirana Win	51%	1.75
BTTS No	51%	1.79
Tirana HT & FT	34%	2.75
Draw	27%	3.30

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.