Home › League stats › Superliga › Skenderbeu Korce vs AF Elbasani
Superliga · Albania
Skenderbeu Korce vs AF Elbasani prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Skenderbeu Korce host AF Elbasani in the Superliga (Albania) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — AF Elbasani to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Skenderbeu Korce 2–1 AF Elbasani.
Going into the match, Skenderbeu Korce had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. AF Elbasani had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Skenderbeu Korce's last 10 and 9 of AF Elbasani's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Skenderbeu Korce averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home AF Elbasani averaged 1.33 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Skenderbeu Korce and 1.10 from AF Elbasani. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 31%, against 28%, 28% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skenderbeu Korce | LWDDL | 0.90 | 1.40 | 50% | 30% |
| AF Elbasani | DDWLD | 1.30 | 1.10 | 90% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| AF Elbasani Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| AF Elbasani HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Superliga matches that day
- Tirana vs Laci · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Superliga
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 · FT 1–0