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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Teruel vs Águilas prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Teruel host Águilas in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Teruel had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 17. Águilas had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Teruel's last 10 and 5 of Águilas's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Teruel averaged 0.25 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Águilas averaged 0.86 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.74 goals from Teruel and 1.02 from Águilas. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 40%, against 33%, 30% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
| Águilas Win | 36% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day
- Huesca vs Antequera · 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Juventud Torremolinos vs Real Murcia · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33