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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Juventud Torremolinos vs Real Murcia prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Juventud Torremolinos host Real Murcia in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Juventud Torremolinos had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 21. Real Murcia had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Juventud Torremolinos's last 10 and 4 of Real Murcia's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juventud Torremolinos averaged 1.71 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Real Murcia averaged 1.36 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Juventud Torremolinos and 1.66 from Real Murcia. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 49%, against 28%, 28% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Juventud Torremolinos (green) and Real Murcia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud Torremolinos | DDLLL | 1.20 | 2.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Real Murcia | DWLWL | 1.20 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Juventud Torremolinos 1–3 Real Murcia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Juventud Torremolinos form and statistics
- Real Murcia form and statistics
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2 statistics
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day
- Teruel vs Águilas · 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Huesca vs Antequera · 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.44